| Commodity price and currency risk
Commodity price risk arises from the risk of an adverse effect on current or future earnings resulting from fluctuations in metal
and mineral prices. The group also has transactional foreign exchange exposures, which arise from sales or purchases by the
group in currencies other than the group’s functional currency. These markets are predominantly priced in US dollar and to a
lesser extent in euros which exposes the group to the risk that fluctuations in the SA rand exchange rates may have a positive
or negative impact on current or future earnings.
The group manages its commodity price risk, to which it is exposed through its investment in Assmang, by concluding supply
contracts with certain customers for periods of up to three months. Contracts with other customers contain retrospective
pricing arrangements which may impact the group either positively or negatively. With respect to its exposure to foreign
currency fluctuations, the group constantly reviews the extent to which its foreign currency exposures are covered by forward
exchange contracts, taking into account changes in operational forecasts and market conditions and the group’s hedging
policy (refer “Forward exchange contracts and other commitments” below).
The group’s exposure to currency risk at year-end was as follows:
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| Foreign receivables included in trade receivables |
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| – US dollar denominated |
|
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|
696 991 |
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| Foreign overdraft (refer note 19) |
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|
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| – US dollar denominated |
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|
579 719 |
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| Total exposure at year-end |
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1 276 710 |
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Foreign currency sensitivity analysis
A 5% strengthening of the rand against the US dollar would have decreased profit or loss for the year by R45 962 000
(2016: R45 952 000) as a result of revaluation of foreign denominated balances. A 5% weakening of the rand against the
abovementioned currencies would have had an equal but opposite effect on profit and loss, on the basis that all other
variables remained constant.
Forward exchange contracts and other commitments
The group undertakes economic hedging of receivables denominated in US dollar at times when the rand/US dollar
exchange rate appears volatile. The level of exposure on these limited hedging activities did not exceed US$100 million
(2016: US$100 million) at any stage during the year.
A foreign subsidiary had forward commitments with regard to its inventory of ores, alloys and metals, which for accounting
purposes are regarded as executory contracts and are therefore not included in the statement of financial position, but can
be summarised as follows:
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| |
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| Purchase contracts |
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|
|
|
|
|
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| US dollar |
|
|
|
35 900 |
475 958 |
|
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| Sales contracts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| US dollar |
|
|
|
58 900 |
780 889 |
|
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Equity price risk
The group’s listed and unlisted investments are susceptible to market price risk arising from uncertainties about future value of
the investment. The group manages the equity price risk through monitoring developments in the mining and metal industries.
The executive directors of the board review and approve all equity investment decisions
At the reporting date, the exposure to listed investments at fair value was R229,0 million (2016: R180,0 million). A decrease
of 1% on the relevant market index would have an impact of approximately R2,3 million (2016: R1,8 million) on other
comprehensive income attributable to the group, depending on whether or not the decline is significant or prolonged.
An increase of 1% in the value of the listed investments would only impact other comprehensive income, but would not
have an effect on profit or loss unless the shares are sold or fall below cost.
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